Let me take a stab at it...
First, imagine drawing a little circle on the table. Then, take the backing plate and trace out the circle with the shaft on the plate. Or better yet, imagine the shaft of the backing plate had ink on it. Try to draw a little circle with the backing plate. This is the motion the machine makes with the pad. It moves the shaft of the plate around tracing out a little circle. This would be the orbiting motion of a PC (nothing random about this orbiting motion).
Now, forget that and imagine a bearing that was attached to the table. If you put the shaft of the backing plate in it, it would allow the plate to spin freely. You could spin it however you want, and it would be just like a wheel spinning about its axle (it doesn't trace out a circle, it just spins). Because the pad can spin any way it wants to (any way you push it), the motion of it would be fairly random (predicted by anything external that pushes it).
Lastly, imagine combining the two. Have the bearing trace out an orbit, causing the backing plate shaft to also trace out a circle. However, the plate itself is free to spin any way it wants (or not at all) while it is tracing out this circle. While the shaft isn't moving in a random motion (it is forced to trace a circle), the face of the pad is random because while it is rotating, it can be spinning in any direction it wants to. This gives the face of the pad a sort of jiggling motion.